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War risk insurance

Brent went quiet. Freight didn’t.

Brent crude

+4

Brent went quiet. Freight didn’t.

Brent crude vs Oman-China VLCC freight rate, indexed to 100 at MOU signing (June 17, 2026). The chart shows the grey zone in market form.

LockSimple

Jun 25, 2026

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1 min read

If you only read one thing this week

Energy radar

+5

If you only read one thing this week

“A fragile thaw in Hormuz but timing and sequence now matter” – Lloyd’s List

LockSimple

Jun 18, 2026

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1 min read

Data corner

Energy radar

+5

Data corner

That is the widely reported estimate for the Strait of Hormuz to reopen physically. The MOU itself guarantees toll-free passage for 60 days – but the physical constraints that 30 days cannot resolve are a different question entirely.

LockSimple

Jun 18, 2026

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1 min read

Ships of the world, start your engines

Ceasefire

+4

Ships of the world, start your engines

The deal is signed. Brent has priced the reopening. But the market that insures the ships still hasn't priced the recovery.

LockSimple

Jun 18, 2026

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5 min read

Four markets, one reality – priced four different ways.

War risk insurance

+4

Four markets, one reality – priced four different ways.

Different markets are responding to the same disruption in very different ways. Here’s where each one sits.

LockSimple

May 7, 2026

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3 min read

What the insurance market knows that the oil price doesn't

Maritime markets

+4

What the insurance market knows that the oil price doesn't

War risk premiums for Hormuz transits rose from 0.2% of hull value before the war to as high as 10% at the peak. Analysts expect them to settle at 1–2% post-ceasefire – five to ten times pre-war levels, permanently. The oil price has moved on. The insurance market hasn't.

LockSimple

Apr 9, 2026

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4 min read

Global Energy Dynamics

Global Energy Dynamics delivers structured, independent intelligence on global energy markets, helping professionals stay ahead of emerging trends.

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